Part: Part Nine - Inflection Points: M, Q & the Zones

Jam, don't make a committing raise

Pre-flop
Blinds 400 / 800 (100 ante)Pot 2,100 (2.6 BB)Your M = 7 • Orange zoneMP99 14,700 (18.4 BB)YOUfirst to actSB 16,000 (20 BB)posts 400 (0.5 BB)BB 16,000 (20 BB)posts 800 (1 BB)D

Orange zone (M 7). It folds to you in middle position with 9♠9♦.

Orange zone, folded to you in MP with 9♠9♦. Best?

WhyMin- or standard-raise 9-9 at M 7 and you've put in a third of your stack with no plan for a bad flop - committed but flying blind. A shove fixes both problems: it squeezes maximum fold equity out of the blinds, and when called you're flipping at worst against overcards, never drawing dead. Raise-and-pray leaves value on the table that a jam collects cleanly.
What happensYou jam; the blinds fold, and on the times you're called you're racing at worst. The shove banked the fold equity a committing raise would have thrown away.
When a raise would commit you regardless, make it a shove. Jamming 9-9 in the Orange zone captures the fold equity cleanly and spares you the post-flop guesswork a half-pot raise leaves behind.

At Orange-zone depth a 'normal' raise already pot-commits you but still hands a caller the flop. With a hand you're going to play anyway, skip the middle step and jam.