Part: Part Three - Reading the Table

The sizing tell

Pre-flop
Blinds 100 / 200Pot 900 (4.5 BB)BB98 25,000 (125 BB)YOUto actBTN 25,000 (125 BB)Buttonraises 600 (3 BB)SBfoldsD

A button player opens to 600. You're in the big blind with 9♥8♥ - suited connectors, great for flopping disguised hands and reading the action.

Button opens to 600 (3 BB); you have 9♥8♥ in the BB. Best?

WhyGetting a cheap price to defend from the big blind, suited connectors are exactly the holding you want - they flop the disguised two pairs and straights that let you trap. Nine-eight suited doesn't want a 3-bet war; it wants a flop where the reads come to you.
What happensYou call and take a flop heads-up. Pot: 1,300 (6.5 BB).
Flop
Heads-upPot 1,300 (6.5 BB)982BB98 25,000 (125 BB)YOUtop two pairBTN 25,000 (125 BB)Buttonbets 700 (3.5 BB)D

Flop: 9♣ 8♦ 2♠ - you flop top two pair. You check, the button bets 700.

You flopped top two pair and the button c-bets 700 (3.5 BB). Check-raise, or call?

WhyTop two is a monster on this dry board, and announcing it with a check-raise just folds out the very hands you're beating. Flatting hides your strength, keeps his bluffs and second-best hands firing, and - the real prize - lets his own sizing on later streets tell you how to get paid.
What happensYou call and let him keep betting into your trap. Pot: 2,700 (13.5 BB).
Turn
Heads-upPot 2,700 (13.5 BB)9822BB98 25,000 (125 BB)YOUtop two pairBTN 25,000 (125 BB)Buttonchecks backD

Turn: 2♥ pairs the board. You check, and the button checks back - declining to bet.

He checks back the turn. What does that tell you?

WhyRead the check, not the card. A player who c-bets the flop and then declines to bet a paired, dry turn has almost always shut down a big hand - he keeps betting trips, an overpair, or two pair for value. The check-back sorts him into medium pairs and busted draws, and that's the read you'll cash on the river.
What happensYou mark him as capped and set up to extract on the river. Pot: 2,700 (13.5 BB).
River
Heads-upPot 2,700 (13.5 BB)98224BB98 25,000 (125 BB)YOUtop two pairBTN 25,000 (125 BB)Buttonbets 800 (4 BB)D

River: 4♦ - a blank. You check, and the capped button stabs just 800 into the 2,700 pot - a small blocking bet.

He stabs small (800, under a third of pot). With top two pair, your best exploit?

WhyThat tiny stab, sitting on top of the turn check-back, is a range telling on itself - a marginal hand trying to buy a cheap showdown, not a big one building a pot. Your two pair smashes that range, so a raise pulls extra value from worse pairs and busted draws while a flat leaves it on the table. The size was the tell; punish it.
What happensYou raise to 2,600 and he pays off with 9-6, a worse nine. A bet that small rarely folds - and it told you exactly how much thinner you could push for value.
You disguised your hand with a flat, read the turn check-back as a cap, then turned his little 'blocking' bet into a value raise. Bet sizes are information for anyone paying attention.

A bet's size and the shape of a betting line tell a story - a sudden small stab or a checked-back street caps a range, and a capped opponent is there to be milked for thin value.